Aegis Vopak Terminals Limited IPO Analysis
Company Overview
One of the leading companies in India's energy logistics market is Aegis Vopak Terminals Limited, which specializes in running a network of storage tank terminals and related facilities for gas and liquid commodities. The business provides comprehensive logistical services for a variety of chemical and petroleum goods.
🔧 Core Operations: Storage Terminals
- Petroleum
- Oil made from vegetables
- Lubricants
- Different compounds
- Butane, propane, and liquefied petroleum gas (LPG)
Services & Infrastructure:
- Handling import/export
- Storage of tanks
- Connectivity of pipelines
- Logistics of loading and unloading
- Environmental and safety regulations
🌐 Reach and Network
Over 91% to 92% of revenue is generated by the terminals, which are positioned strategically along India's west coast.
Important terminal locations consist of:
- Mumbai
- Mangalore
- Pipavav
- Kochi
- Haldia
- Kandla
📅 IPO Timeline & Key Dates
Event | Date |
---|---|
Anchor Book Opens | May 23, 2025 (Friday) |
Issue Opens | May 26, 2025 (Monday) |
Issue Closes | May 28, 2025 (Wednesday) |
Allotment Finalization | May 29, 2025 |
Refunds Start | May 30, 2025 |
Demat Credit | May 30, 2025 |
Trading Begins | June 2, 2025 |
Listing On | NSE & BSE |
💹 Grey Market Premium (GMP) Analysis
Current GMP Status
Parameter | Value |
---|---|
Current GMP | ₹15-20 (Indicative) |
Issue Price | ₹235 (Upper Band) |
Expected Listing Price | ₹250-255 |
Expected Listing Gain | 6-8% |
GMP Trend | Weak to Moderate |
Also Read: Borana Weaves IPO: Key Details, Pros & Listing Outlook
GMP History (Last 7 Days)
Date | GMP | Trend |
---|---|---|
May 17 | ₹25 | ⬇️ |
May 18 | ₹22 | ⬇️ |
May 19 | ₹20 | ⬇️ |
May 20 | ₹18 | ⬇️ |
May 21 | ₹15 | ➡️ |
May 22 | ₹15 | ➡️ |
May 23 | ₹18 | ⬆️ |
What This Means for You & Me:
- GMP is showing weak momentum compared to recent IPOs
- Market sentiment appears cautious due to high valuation
- Expected listing gains are modest (6-8%)
💰 IPO Details at a Glance
Parameter | Details |
---|---|
Issue Size | ₹2,800 Crores |
Shares Offered | 11.91 crore fresh shares (No OFS) |
Price Band | ₹223 to ₹235 per share |
Face Value | ₹10 |
Lot Size | 63 Shares per bid |
Minimum Investment | ₹14,805 (for retail investors) |
🎲 Allotment Process & Your Chances
How Allotment Works (Simplified for You & Me)
Retail Category (Our Category - Up to ₹2 Lakhs)
Subscription Level | Allotment Method | Your Chances |
---|---|---|
Under-subscribed | Everyone gets full allotment | 100% |
1x to 2x subscribed | Proportionate basis | 50-100% |
2x to 5x subscribed | Lottery system | 20-50% |
Above 5x subscribed | Pure lottery | 10-20% |
Expected Subscription Levels
Category | Expected Subscription | Likely Allotment |
---|---|---|
Retail | 3-4x | 25-30% chance |
HNI | 2-3x | 30-50% chance |
QIB | 1.5-2x | 75-100% chance |
Also Read: Belrise Industries limited IPO Date, Price, GMP & Review
Allotment Tips & Tricks (From My Experience)
To Improve Your Allotment Chances:
- Apply through multiple family members (separate PAN/Demat)
- Use UPI applications (faster processing)
- Apply on Day 1 (early applications sometimes get preference)
- Bid at cut-off price (₹235) - don't bid lower
Allotment Timeline
Date | Activity | What You Should Do |
---|---|---|
May 28 | IPO closes | Wait patiently |
May 29 | Allotment finalized | Check status online |
May 30 | Refund/Credit starts | Monitor your account |
June 2 | Trading begins | Decide sell/hold strategy |
Category Investment Range
Category | Investment Range | Minimum Shares | Minimum Amount |
---|---|---|---|
Retail (You & Me) | Up to ₹2 Lakhs | 63 shares | ₹14,805 |
Small HNI | ₹2L to ₹10L | 882 shares | ₹2,07,270 |
Big HNI | Above ₹10L | 4,284 shares | ₹10,06,740 |
📊 Reservation Breakdown
Category | Allocation | Amount |
---|---|---|
QIB (Institutions) | 75% | ₹2,100 Cr |
HNI | 15% | ₹420 Cr |
- Small HNI | - | ₹140 Cr |
- Big HNI | - | ₹280 Cr |
Retail (Us!) | 10% | ₹280 Cr |
📈 Valuation & Financial Metrics
Key Valuation Points
- P/E Ratio: 235x (at upper price band)
- Industry Average P/E: 43.25x ⚠️ Company trading at premium
- Pre-Issue Market Cap: ₹23,237.8 Cr
- Post-Issue Market Cap: ₹26,037.8 Cr
- Promoter Holding: Will reduce from 97.41% to 86.93%
Parent Company Performance (Aegis Logistics)
Metric | Current Performance |
---|---|
Current Price | ₹381 |
Free Cash Flow Growth | 112.5% ✅ |
Revenue CAGR (5 Yr) | 12.5% ✅ |
PEG Ratio | 0.90 ✅ |
ROE | 14.6% |
ROCE | 11.7% |
ROIC | 9% |
🏭 Peer Comparison Analysis
Company | P/E Ratio | ROE | Revenue Growth | Market Cap |
---|---|---|---|---|
Aegis Vopak | 235x | 3.75% | New Listing | ₹26,037 Cr |
Gujarat Gas | 12.5x | 18.2% | 8.5% | ₹45,000 Cr |
Petronet LNG | 11.8x | 15.4% | 12.3% | ₹75,000 Cr |
Indian Oil Corp | 7.2x | 8.9% | 15.2% | ₹1,20,000 Cr |
Note: Aegis Vopak is trading at a significant premium compared to peers.
Situation: Get to know Priya, a retail investor.
Priya's Investment:
- A minimum of ₹14,805 must be invested (63 shares at ₹235).
- Receives allotment (assuming a retail category allotment rate of 30%).
Revised Possible Results (GMP-Based):
Price of GMP: ₹235 + ₹18 = ₹253
Priya's investment value: ₹15,939
Profit in a week: ₹1,134!
Listing price: ₹250
Priya's investment value: ₹15,750
Profit: ₹945
Listing price: ₹225
Priya's investment value: ₹14,175; Loss: ₹630
Price at Listing: ₹188
Priya's investment value: ₹11,844
Loss: ₹2,961
Remind yourself that Priya's chances of being assigned are merely 30%. Her money is returned with no profit or loss if she does not receive shares.
My Suggestion for an Investment Strategy
If I were investing, I would think about:
- Conservative: Because of the high valuation, avoid this IPO.
- Moderate: On listing day, apply for one lot and reserve 50% of the proceeds.
- Aggressive: Apply for the highest possible retail quota and stay there for a long time.
Financial Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) to Monitor
- Revenue Growth: Aim for 15–25% per year
- EBITDA Margin: Should get better than it is now.
- Return on Equity: Presently, 3.75%; this needs to be improved.
- Debt-to-Equity: Track the amount of leverage
Also Read: HDFC Gold ETF NAV Explained: How to Invest Smarter
KPIs for operations
- Use of Terminals: Monitor the rates of capacity use.
- Customer Retention: Keep an eye on the top ten client dependencies to retain customers.
- Terminal Expansion: New additions to the terminal: Execution of the expansion pipeline.
- Safety Documents: Essential to Operations.
Risk factors (the things that worry me)
Areas at High Risk
- Overvaluation: 235x P/E compared to 43x industry.
- Focus on Customers: 44% of revenue comes from the top 10 clients.
- Geographic Risk: West Coast Terminals 91–92%.
- Operational Risks: Hazards of storing chemicals.
- Lease Dependencies: A few contracts that are up for renewal.
Areas of Medium Risk
- Promoter Conflicts: Divergent interests may exist among co-promoters.
- Project Delays: Extension may be impacted by NOC delays.
- Regulatory Changes: Environmental and safety regulations.
🤝 Lead managers and the management team schedule running lead managers (BRLMs)
- BNP Paribas
- HDFC Bank
- IIFL Capital
- ICICI Securities
Registrar
India Private Limited (MUFG Intime)
Frequently Asked Questions (FAQs)
Q1: Should I invest in this IPO?
My Take: The valuation seems steep at 235x P/E. I'd be cautious and consider waiting for better entry points post-listing.
Q2: What's the minimum amount I need to invest?
Answer: ₹14,805 for 63 shares (1 lot) if you're a retail investor like me.
Q3: When will I know if I got shares?
Answer: Allotment results will be out on May 29, 2025. You can check on the registrar's website or BSE/NSE portals.
Q4: What are my chances of getting allotment?
Answer: Based on expected 3-4x subscription in retail category, you have roughly 25-30% chance of getting shares.
Q5: Can I sell immediately after listing?
Answer: Yes! Trading starts on June 2, 2025. You can sell on the same day if you want.
Q6: What if I don't get allotment?
Answer: Your money will be refunded to your bank account by May 30, 2025.
Q7: What does the current GMP indicate?
Answer: GMP of ₹15-20 suggests modest listing gains of 6-8%. Market sentiment seems cautious due to high valuation.
Q8: Should I apply through multiple family members?
Answer: Yes, if they have separate PAN and Demat accounts. This increases your overall chances of getting allotment.
Q9: Is this better than Aegis Logistics shares?
Answer: Aegis Logistics (parent) trades at ₹381 with better metrics. This subsidiary is at a premium valuation.
Q10: What's the company's main business?
Answer: They operate liquid chemical storage terminals - basically warehouses for chemical companies.