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Ford PE Ratio Deep Dive: Undervalued Gem or Value Trap?

Introduction

The P/E ratio of Ford Motor Company (NYSE: F) reached 6.97 on March 19th, 2025, at a level 35.40% below its twelve-month average of 10.78. Investors question if Ford remains an undervalued buy considering its P/E ratio exceeds its historical averages of 17.16.

This article explains Ford P/E ratio while examining industry benchmarks and exploring elements that determine its current valuation. Through analysis of market and historical data you will develop enough information to assess Ford’s investment worthiness.

Ford Historical P/E Analysis

Ford Motor Company P/E Ratio Historical Analysis

6.97
Current P/E
▼35.4% vs 12mo avg
10.25
5-Year Average
17.16
20-Year Average
2019: 930 (Restructuring)
2020: Negative P/E (Pandemic)
2021-2025: Avg 7.2 (Macro Pressures)
Note: 2019 P/E spike caused by EPS approaching zero during major restructuring
Period P/E Ratio Key Drivers
2019 930.00 Restructuring costs collapsed EPS
2020 Negative Pandemic shutdowns & losses
2021-2025 Avg 7.2 Supply chain issues, EV transition costs

Key Insight

Ford's P/E ratio shows extreme sensitivity to:

  • Macroeconomic conditions
  • Restructuring costs
  • Industry transformation (EV transition)
Cyclical Stock
High Volatility
Auto Industry Peer Analysis

Automotive Industry Peer Comparison

Price-to-Earnings Ratio Analysis

STLA 3.26
HMC 7.02
F 6.97
GM 8.11
TM 7.28
TSLA 115.62

Note: Tesla's P/E ratio scaled down 10:1 for visualization

EV Disruption

TSLA
F
GM
STLA

Tesla commands 65% of US EV market, legacy automakers investing $200B+ collectively

Profitability Variance

Toyota Margin
8.2%
Ford Margin
5.4%

Japanese automakers maintain 2x better operating margins than US counterparts

Global Reach

Toyota
Ford

Toyota operates in 170+ countries vs Ford's 50+ markets

Industry Insights

EV Premium Valuation
Margin Competition
Global Diversification

Ford Q1 2024 Earnings: Strengths & Weaknesses

Earnings Performance

During Q1 2024 Ford exceeded the analyst prediction of $0.42 earnings per share to report $0.48 earnings per share. The company achieved this performance thanks to unexpected strong ICE truck sales combined with EV division cost reduction measures.

The lower-than-expected revenue stood at $41.2 billion because European and Chinese markets demonstrated reduced product demand during Q1 2024.

Guidance Updates

The company expects to reach EPS between $1.80 and $2.00 for full-year 2024 while maintaining stability in its supply chain functions.

The EV unit managed to reduce its financial losses to $1.2 billion (from $1.7 billion the previous quarter) while extending its profitability goal to 2027.

Market Reaction & P/E Impact

The company delivered a beating earnings report yet its stock decreased by 3% right after the announcement because investors remain worried about its electric vehicle approach and international market volatility.

Skeptical investors doubt Ford’s long-term Electric Vehicle business prospects which keeps Ford’s stock price lower than its subsegment competitor Tesla.

Ford Labor Cost Analysis

UAW Contract Impact Analysis

Wage Increases

2023 +11% by 2026

$900M annual cost increase
Equivalent to 12,000 F-150 profits

Benefits Expansion

  • 25% higher healthcare contributions
  • Enhanced pension benefits
  • Battery plant coverage

Margin Impact

-0.8%
2024 Operating Margin
EPS Impact: $0.15-$0.20

EV Competitiveness

Ford EV Labor Cost $68/hour
Tesla Labor Cost $45/hour

40% higher than non-union competitors

Valuation Consequences

P/E Ratio Outlook
Current: 6.97
2024 Projection: 6.2-6.8

Analyst Consensus: "Subdued multiple until cost offsets materialize"

Profit Pressure
EV Execution Risk

Expert Opinions: Divergent Views on Ford Valuation

Ford’s $50 billion EV play is still a two-edged sword. Though F-150 Lightning shines, SC may keep returns beneath the cost of capital until 2030. We keep a ‘Hold’ rating and US$ 13.00 target.

“With a 6.9x forward P/E, Ford over-discounts doom and gloom.” Legacy ICE profits ($8b+$ annually) serve as a floor and, any EV catalyst could call for re-rating. Our $16 target implies 30% upside.”

Key Takeaway

Analysts are divided equably bearish on risk of Ford’s EV execution or positive on Ford’s big ICE cash flows being undervalued.

Final Word

Fords P/E ratio it is still risky given risks for EV, labor cost, and macros. Investors should consider the company’s robust ICE cash flow against the uncertainty of the EV transition in making investment decisions.

1 thought on “Ford PE Ratio Deep Dive: Undervalued Gem or Value Trap?”

  1. Pingback: Tesla PE Ratio Explained: Is It Overvalued or Genius?

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